Tuesday, May 27, 2008

WOW. Kentucky Poll Seems... Unreal

Ok, keep in mind: 1) it is WAY early, there's tons of time to go before the election; 2) this is ONE poll only, but according to the latest Rassmusen poll from Kentucky, Lunsford (D) leads Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnel by 5 points.

Like I said, take this with a major grain of salt. Lunsford just came off his primary win with a boost in name recognition, and it's just one poll, etc... The real thing to keep your eye on here is that McConnel's approval is below 50%, and it was below 50 in the only prior poll on pollster.com. Any time an incumbent is polling below 50, it means that they are vulnerable. Not that they will lose, but it is a clear indication that there is a large enough block of the electorate out there that is persuadable that a run against an incumbent is realistic.

Part of this is also taint that McConnel got from his long association with and support of Ernie Fletcher, the very corrupt Kentucky governor.

Still, this is pretty big news. McConnel is one of the most odious pricks in the Senate. He will go on television and lie about any Republican talking point, and he's always been the GOP point man against Campaign Finance Reform. If his scalp is taken while he's Minority Leader, that would be a major coup.

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